Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.619501 0.710842 0.810272 0.926449 1.058375 1.203435 1.374936
2025-01-05 0.463545 0.582383 0.723034 0.901395 1.121158 1.382671 1.717070
2025-01-12 0.365463 0.499213 0.670148 0.903699 1.213490 1.609200 2.151790
2025-01-19 0.282948 0.418135 0.603780 0.875651 1.261677 1.787833 2.556658
2025-01-26 0.238769 0.379271 0.585311 0.906670 1.391859 2.092781 3.176691
2025-02-02 0.207455 0.352347 0.578103 0.951180 1.546903 2.454119 3.930649
2025-02-09 0.175107 0.316962 0.551050 0.959569 1.647036 2.746709 4.623420
2025-02-16 0.147719 0.284026 0.521492 0.957686 1.728628 3.019488 5.321404
2025-02-23 0.126221 0.256955 0.496654 0.958625 1.813379 3.306641 6.079953
2025-03-02 0.108244 0.232708 0.472276 0.955492 1.888986 3.586080 6.860046
2025-03-09 0.095575 0.216285 0.459459 0.971241 2.000380 3.941626 7.820223
2025-03-16 0.082647 0.196659 0.436778 0.963436 2.064397 4.216249 8.662922
2025-03-23 0.073883 0.184631 0.428175 0.984139 2.190702 4.630871 9.838712
2025-03-30 0.063803 0.167519 0.405734 0.971769 2.246954 4.914981 10.794252
2025-04-06 0.056895 0.156559 0.395078 0.983661 2.356998 5.323157 12.057481
2025-04-13 0.048789 0.140828 0.370487 0.959290 2.382594 5.556350 12.980707
2025-04-20 0.045201 0.136199 0.371915 0.997231 2.557108 6.135241 14.729882
2025-04-27 0.042610 0.133760 0.378416 1.048785 2.771497 6.829876 16.823325
2025-05-04 0.038472 0.125991 0.369658 1.059865 2.888315 7.314518 18.492887
2025-05-11 0.034378 0.117423 0.357190 1.059022 2.974847 7.738171 20.070034
2025-05-18 0.030892 0.109941 0.346377 1.060861 3.068570 8.190614 21.771316
2025-05-25 0.027679 0.102588 0.334583 1.057939 3.149115 8.620077 23.467216
2025-06-01 0.025437 0.097976 0.330134 1.075641 3.289040 9.217771 25.660455